Randwick tips for Saturday, January 22

featured, Horse Racing, Racing, Randwick

Greetings, punters! We’re returning to Randwick this Saturday, where we should get a dry track and a fair surface even though they’ve gone with the rail eight metres out.

It looks like a nice day, and I’ve found a few things at value across a solid card.

Race 1: No. 1, Capital Reign (one unit)
Current odds: $5.50
This is a good little heart-starter for three-year-old sprinters to kick off the meeting. Capital Reign looks nicely placed first up; he’ll lead here and gets weight relief with Tyler Schiller’s apprentice claim. His form from his previous campaign is good, and he’s bolted in at the trials.

No. 2, Quick Tempo, finally comes to town after winning his first five starts, and this is the test. No. 4, Silent Impact, has the Clark-Waterhouse combo I love, but I don’t think they will lead here, and he might have bigger plans over 1400 metres and above this prep. No. 7, Spellcatcher, is another good one.

Race 2
I’m placing no bets here, with largely unraced two-year-olds.

Race 3: No. 1, Shelby Sixtysix (two units)
Current odds: $6
I have Shelby Sixtysix rated at around half of his current price. He’s been running close at highway level since mid-November and should test this lot. Danny Williams has mixed Shelby’s distances before between runs, and it seemed to work – 1400 metres to 1100 metres this time. He has drawn perfectly as well.

No. 3, Extravagent Lad, and No. 4, Danzadel, are the next-best picks.

Race 4: No. 6, Sur La Mer (two units)
Current odds: $5
I’ve got another astericks in play with Sur La Mer here. Two starts ago she was excellent against the boys at HQ – on that run she dropped weight to run against her own sex. She ticks boxes galore. Nothing went right when she went for a soft kill last time – she was too far back from a flying leader before a big check at the turn. She still finished well enough there to suggest a mile is ideal and that she’s on form.

I have No. 3, Majella, as one to look out for at each-way odds, while No 7, And We Danced, ran well in her first start for Waller last time; she’ll improve.

Race 5: No. 9, Real Peace (one unit)
Current price: $7.50
There are a few donkeys in this group. I’ll dabble on Real Peace at the odds. He’s getting to his distance range now, he’s down in weight and he should finally get an okay run.

No. 2, Jungle Book, rated well, and the good track is a tick. He just seems short at around $5. White Boots hasn’t won in almost two years. No. 12, Main Stage, is a chance if he starts – he’s coming up on 1000 days since he last saluted. Good luck.

Race 6: No. 9, Greek Hero (one unit)
Current odds: $7.50
I quite liked Greek Hero’s quiet little fourth a fortnight ago behind the flying Casino Kid. He ran good sectionals from a funny little spot, meaning the 2000 metres this time looks ideal. The weight drop from 57.5 kilos down to 52 will add some spring too.

No. 11, Maid of Ore, is another down in the weights who can compete if she’s at her best. No. 4, Toomuchtobear, is a very short favourite. The sprint to beat Sur La Mer two back was excellent, and he was good last time. At the odds I’ll go Greek – comparing the 78-grade runs, he gets in with a significant weight edge.

Race 7: No. 1, Lancaster Bomber (one unit)
Current odds: $8.50
On 7 August last year Lancaster Bomber finished half a length off Destination while lugging 61.5 kilograms at this track, at this distance and in this class. If he runs to that first up, he’ll be in the finish. I like the play engaging an apprentice.

No. 3, Shadow Crush, is rated as the main danger. He’s a winner with a good record. There’s been some early money for No. 12, Superior Witness. He comes here after breaking the track record at Gilgandra, so watch this space.

Race 8: No. 6, Looks Like Elvis (one unit)
Current odds: $12
This is a good feature race at listed level over 1400 metres. Looks Like Elvis was excellent chasing boom horse Lighthouse at Flemington last time, and that places him well. He was also second to Atishu this track and trip in the spring if that helps.

No. 7, Steely, is a potential star who jumped favourite in the Villiers. No. 13, Through The Gate, is up to this, and No. 8, Charmmebaby, will be chasing late.

Race 9: No. 7. Lackeen (one unit)
Current odds: $6
My ears pricked here with the appointment of Tim Clark on Lackeen. He normally settles in the midfield or worse, including last time, when he didn’t ping from a wide draw for Tim Clark, but Clark also rode him last prep when he led up Steely and got done by a length. Maybe with the inside draw they’ll settle closer. In any case his last 600 metres last time has him cherry ripe for the mile.

No. 5, Yiyi, is in the mix as always. Big watch No. 6, Opacity, with blinkers on second up. No. 10, Canasta, will lead and take chasing.

Race 10: No. 10, Waihaha Falls (one unit)
Current odds: $4
I’m taking the short way home with Waihaha Falls in the last race. His last start was a forgive job, three-wide with no cover from Hugh Bowman. In the start before that he was strong to the line, beating Francesco Guardi. A repeat of that will do the job here.

I’m looking wide-ish outside that. No. 7, Badoosh, is overdue and is up to this level at his best. No. 4, Papal Warrior, is ready third up, and No. 2, O’mudgee, bolted last start.

The tally, 2022

Outlay: 35 units.
Return: 33.6 units.

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